Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.181195 0.204992 0.231884 0.264757 0.304180 0.350348 0.409119
2024-12-22 0.139890 0.168537 0.203848 0.251393 0.315032 0.399255 0.522699
2024-12-29 0.121471 0.153953 0.196967 0.259903 0.352950 0.491385 0.725865
2025-01-05 0.104298 0.137149 0.183017 0.254549 0.369052 0.557029 0.919591
2025-01-12 0.092972 0.126111 0.174527 0.254391 0.391836 0.639669 1.184976
2025-01-19 0.082258 0.114213 0.162532 0.245799 0.397678 0.693845 1.426065
2025-01-26 0.077493 0.110403 0.162117 0.255791 0.438731 0.831298 1.960821
2025-02-02 0.073805 0.107673 0.162833 0.267617 0.486473 1.004680 2.768393
2025-02-09 0.068855 0.102272 0.158210 0.268488 0.511568 1.136460 3.610199
2025-02-16 0.063789 0.096117 0.151436 0.263853 0.523061 1.238564 4.496207
2025-02-23 0.058323 0.088766 0.141675 0.251544 0.513290 1.275196 5.149575
2025-03-02 0.054636 0.084141 0.136363 0.247640 0.523449 1.381172 6.428485
2025-03-09 0.052308 0.081827 0.135370 0.253527 0.562933 1.621205 9.450133
2025-03-16 0.048477 0.076539 0.128190 0.244604 0.559944 1.706030 11.651128
2025-03-23 0.047050 0.075469 0.129100 0.254503 0.615228 2.081722 19.755118
2025-03-30 0.044312 0.071752 0.124319 0.250016 0.625382 2.266654 27.475103
2025-04-06 0.042277 0.069181 0.121600 0.250173 0.651125 2.564232 43.426793
2025-04-13 0.039684 0.065361 0.115915 0.241899 0.645729 2.686122 58.372205
2025-04-20 0.038840 0.064825 0.117097 0.251738 0.709216 3.332358 140.943852
2025-04-27 0.038161 0.064547 0.118792 0.263339 0.785657 4.237155 511.926822
2025-05-04 0.036741 0.062685 0.116781 0.264203 0.819548 4.880650 1837.616662
2025-05-11 0.035059 0.060185 0.113105 0.259671 0.828853 5.324895 7836.443955
2025-05-18 0.033003 0.056806 0.107164 0.247623 0.800504 5.323694 20047.319530